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The U.S. is headed for a recession in the next two years as excessive fiscal stimulus takes the economy into unsustainable territory.
This time, Trump celebrated the strong jobs numbers. Under Obama, he dismissed positive employment reports, Politico’s Ben White says.
GDP is likely to have increased just 1.2 percent in the first quarter, according to the Atlanta Fed’s closely watched GDPNow model.
Phase four depends on the pro-growth policy execution, the chief economic advisor at Allianz tells CNBC.
Nonfarm payrolls grew by 227,000 in January while the unemployment rate edged higher to 4.8 percent, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday.
“You don’t want to irritate one of your largest buyers,” says one economist in Missouri, “and that’s got everybody on edge right now.”
Professional investors entered a new day for U.S. politics with high expectations tempered with caution over what could go wrong.
The biggest risk to the rally may turn out to be something the new administration can’t do anything about, El-Erian tells CNBC.
Payrolls grew by 156,000 in December, closing out a year in which employment growth moderated and the economy showed signs of entering a new phase.
A positive sea change in consumer outlook will help businesses, but a lag in productivity still threatens earnings, Jason Trennert says.
The Index of Consumer Sentiment hit 98.2 in December, the University of Michigan reported on Friday.
A Mexican official tells CNBC that “nobody” there believed Trump’s campaign rhetoric, but they believe him now.
Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer said the case for removing accommodation is “quite strong” while interest rates will plateau at a level that is lower than normal.
The U.S. economy added 161,000 jobs in October and the unemployment rate stood at 4.9 percent as investors got to digest the final payrolls report before Tuesday’s presidential election.
A look under the hood shows that the U.S. is likely stuck in the same growth trap in which it has found itself since the Great Recession ended.