Patti Domm, CNBC.com’s Posts

Despite wild volatility this year, the S&P 500 is barely positive for the year, and it’s still a coin toss whether stocks finish 2015 in the green.

Oil could again be a positive catalyst for stocks Wednesday, as traders await government inventory data that could be more bullish than expected.

The strong blend of macro forces driving commodities lower makes it unlikely the sector will recover for months to come. Perhaps the biggest factor has been China, which drove the cycle through boom and now bust. At the same time, the U.S. Federal Reserve could start, as early as next week, to normalize interest rates, …

November’s solid jobs report gave the Fed a final piece of evidence, clearing the way for a December rate hike, but now the question is how fast can it raise rates given weakness in some other economic data. The economy added 211,000 nonfarm payrolls in November, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 5 percent. …

October is on track to be the best month for stocks in four years, but the rapid gains may have taken some steam out of any year-end rally. The Dow and S&P 500 have both risen about 9 percent in October, the best monthly performance since the S&P’s more-than-10.7 percent rally in October 2011. The …

Fed officials may hope to keep the door open for a December rate hike, but the slower economy could make them sound more dovish and unlikely to take action this year. The Fed winds down its two-day meeting Wednesday with a statement at 2 p.m. ET, and the central bank is not expected to increase …

Plunging oil prices and China’s market meltdown have been cited as two big culprits behind market volatility this summer, but history shows less correlation between these markets and U.S. stocks than many investors might expect. In the case of Shanghai stocks, the S&P 500 has been very loosely correlated, but in the last several sessions …

Oil prices continue to crater, and the bottom remains elusive because not one of the world’s three largest producers shows any sign of blinking.

Wednesday afternoon’s release of Fed minutes will be more important than usual, since they will be gleaned for clues that could tip the debate about whether the Fed will hike rates at its September rates meeting.

Oil supply is the biggest factor weighing on oil prices, and Iran’s return to the market appears to be one of the most difficult supply sources to forecast.

Oil experts forecast crude prices will decline this fall to levels where many shale producers could be unable to make money.

The national average for unleaded gasoline could fall by another 15 to 20 percent by the end of the year, and in many states the price at the pump could even fall below $2 a gallon, analysts say. “I think by the end of the year we could see a national average below $2.20…. You’ll …

Stock traders will wade through dozens of earnings reports Thursday, but the real news comes Friday with the release of the July employment report.

May’s strong 280,000 employment gain reaffirmed market expectations that September may be the month when the Fed raises interest rates for the first time in nine years. If the solid jobs report is confirmed by other economic data, it suggests that the second quarter may not be quite as sluggish as some fear, and the …

Even beyond talk of a “June swoon,” an unusual number of major events makes this month a critical time for markets. From this week’s European Central Bank meeting, to OPEC‘s Friday meeting and the G-7 over the weekend, the month is packed with events—not least of which is the Fed‘s June 16 and 17 meeting. …