Transcript: Nightly Business Report – June 21, 2016

NBR-ThumANNOUNCER:  This is NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT with Tyler Mathisen and Sue

Chair Janet Yellen warns of considerable economic uncertainty and gave no indication interest rates will                                                                     rise anytime soon.

(NYSE:LEN) posts a strong quarter.  So, why does the CEO want to get back
to basics?

MATHISEN:  And rainy day funds.  We all need them, but millions don`t have
them and there`s one group of Americans who especially lack a financial

All that and more tonight on NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT for Tuesday, June

EPPERSON: Good evening, everyone.  I`m Sharon Epperson, in tonight for Sue

MATHISEN:  And welcome, everybody.  I`m Tyler Mathisen.

Well, considerable uncertainty, that is how Janet Yellen characterized the
U.S. economy today.  The most powerful central banker on the planet was on
Capitol Hill and acknowledged the uneven recovery in the U.S. economy,
global economic risks and lackluster growth here in the U.S.

Yellen reiterated her outlook that the central bank will eventually raise
interest rates, but gradually and only if the headwinds she sees start to
ebb, and there are a lot of them.

Steve Liesman has more on the Fed chief`s testimony.


the Senate today, Fed Chair Janet Yellen reinforcing her caution over the
near-term outlook for the U.S. economy.  She emphasized the uncertainty of
the Brexit vote this Thursday, the recent slowdown in U.S. job growth, and
global economic weakness.

JANET YELLEN, FEDERAL RESERVE CHAIR:  A U.K. vote to exit the European
Union could have significant economic repercussions.  For all of these
reasons, the committee is closely monitoring global economic and financial
developments and their implications for domestic economic activity, labor
markets, and inflation.

LIESMAN:  Longer term, the Fed chair thinks the U.S. will overcome these
challenges, suggesting the job market could even pick up momentum from

YELLEN:  My expectation is that the U.S. economy will continue to grow.  We
have seen a pickup, a super strong pickup in consumer spending and growth
in the economy.  If the weakness in the labor markets the last couple of
months was a reaction to earlier slowdown in growth, that looks to be
reversing.  I remain quite optimistic.

LIESMAN:  After the hearing in the Senate Banking Committee, Chairman
Richard Shelby, a Republican from Alabama, was asked if Yellen is doing a
good job.  Shelby, who opposed Yellen`s nomination to become Fed chair, did
not have kind words.

cautious.  And she should be cautious.  But she should know what she`s
doing.  I`m not sure the Fed knows what they`re doing.

LIESMAN:  One takeaway from Yellen`s testimony is that it suggests a chair
who accepts the market`s current pricing of a Fed that hikes maybe once
this year unless there`s a big turnaround in the economic outlook.  That
issue did little to lean against the market`s dovish outlook on the central



EPPERSON:  One of the bright spots in the economy has been housing.  Prices
are sitting near record levels and rising demand and supply — amid rising
demand and supply constraints.  Lennar (NYSE:LEN) was able to take
advantage of that rise in demand.  The nation`s second-largest home builder
delivered more homes at higher prices during its second quarter.  It was
held by a strategy to diversify its activities which started during the

And as Diana Olick reports, the CEO says he`s changing his strategy again.


doesn`t just build single-family hopes, which is why the home builder
suffered less than some of its peers during the housing crash.  As single-
family sales plummeted, Lennar (NYSE:LEN) branched out into multi-family,
into distressed mortgages, and into a major mixed-use community in Irvine,
California, called Five Points.

Now, after reporting its strongest second quarter earnings in a decade,
Lennar (NYSE:LEN) CEO says it`s time to get back to the basics.

STUART MILLER, LENNAR CEO:  While under the Lennar (NYSE:LEN) umbrella, we
all tend to thrive and work well together synergistically.  The core
mission right now is to revert to pure play as a home builder and to
ultimately over the next years, as opportunities present themselves, find
proper homes for those opportunities.

OLICK:  Five Points has been heading for an IPO, but Miller says the
market, quote, “doesn`t happen to be there yet.”  As for Lennar`s multi-
family projects, Miller says they operate independently very well and he`s
not concerned as others are that apartment rentals are overheating.  He
credits Lennar`s success in rentals to its deep roots in housing already
and the company`s understanding of local markets.

MILLER:  It also gave us a very sensitive group of tentacles in the market
as to where activity was evolving.  So, it enabled us to avoid the markets
that were perhaps getting a little bit too hot while gearing towards the
markets that had the most — the deepest set of opportunities.

OLICK:  As for single family, Lennar (NYSE:LEN) increased both new orders
and average home prices in Q2, but it also had an aggressive presence in
the entry-level product.  It was well-positioned for the return of that
buyer in 2015, unlike some of the other builders who focused only on the
high end.

ROBERT WHETENHALL, RBC CAPITAL:  They have a terrific entry-level product
that met that buyer demand.  We think that demand cycle will continue for
the next three years at the entry level.  Lennar`s going to be a primary
beneficiary of that trend.

OLICK:  Especially as the supply of entry-level existing homes for sale
continues to fall.

For NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, I`m Diana Olick in Washington.


MATHISEN:  The return of first-time home buyers helped K.B. Home report a
better than expected quarter.  The home builder saw an increase in new
orders and deliveries.  The CEO says the improving job market and wage
growth at the lower end of the income scale is boosting demand for starter
homes.  Results out after the closing bell sending shares of K.B. Home
higher initially in after-hours trading.

EPPERSON:  The home builder news helped stocks put together a second
straight day of gains even as investors kept volumes low ahead of
Thursday`s so-called Brexit vote.  We`ll get to that shortly.

Looking at the numbers, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 25 points.
The NASDAQ was up 6.  And the S&P 500 helped by gains in telecom and energy
rose about 5 points.

MATHISEN:  Presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton went
after her Republican rival Donald Trump, characterizing him today as
dangerous on the economy.


shouldn`t have his finger on the button, he shouldn`t have his hands on our
economy.  So, let`s take a look at what he did for his business.  He`s
written a lot of books about business.  They all seem to end at Chapter 11.


MATHISEN:  By attacking his private sector record, Clinton`s goal was to
demonstrate Trump is unfit to manage the economy and it does follow a
similar attack that she made on Trump on national security.

John Harwood has been following the story for us.

John, Ms. Clinton has been pretty adroit or adept, I should say, at
ridiculing Mr. Trump.  What else did she say and did she get her message
across?  Obviously, it was a friendly audience.

impact it has.  As she did in the national security speech, she spoke very
deliberately, and calmly.  It was trying to portray a measured tone as
compared to Donald Trump, who she`s casting as erratic and somebody you
can`t count on.

She went after him on his comments about debt, suggesting he`d try to get a
discount on U.S. debt, saying that could throw the United States into — or
the world into a financial panic, said the U.S. economy doesn`t work like
the business world does where Trump has been operating.  And she said his
policies overall would throw the United States into recession.

EPPERSON:  She has talked many times about Trump`s business background and
his career as an entrepreneur and how that has worked.  But she has also
today talked a lot about his longer-term economic policies.  How did Trump
respond to all of this?

HARWOOD:  Well, Donald Trump, he was fairly aggressive with tweets during
the speech as it was going on, saying that Hillary Clinton as secretary of
state oversaw a big run-up in the trade deficit with China and that she
would be a disaster as president.  He also put out an Instagram video of
just a few seconds saying, she`s right about one thing, I do love debt, but
debt`s different for the country than it is for my business, and Obama and
Hillary Clinton run up the debt in their administration.

MATHISEN:  John, there had been some stories comparing the cash balances of
the two campaigns.  I read in one story that never has the gap been wider.
What`s going on?

HARWOOD:  Well, it`s pretty incredible, actually, Tyler.  Donald Trump only
has $1 million in cash as of the beginning of June.  Hillary Clinton had
$42 million.  That just shows the kind of campaign Donald Trump has run
where he has loaned himself money, largely arranged things himself, not
relied on donors.

But you cannot run a national general election that way.  Hillary Clinton`s
prepared for it, Donald Trump isn`t.  We`ll see if he can get up to speed.
He did fire his campaign manager yesterday in a move toward trying to get a
professionalized operation.

MATHISEN:  All right.  John Harwood in Washington tonight — thanks, John.

EPPERSON:  As we`ve been reporting, one of the near-term risks to the
market is the vote in the U.K. later this week on whether to leave the
European Union.

Wilfred Frost is in London and asked some folks how to plan to cast their


UNIDENTIFIED MALE:  I`m probably going to vote to remain.  I think being
part of the bigger union is a big thing for me.

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE:  I think it would be in, because I desperately need
the sovereignty.  And also, I was pleased to hear anybody that`s going to
come here has got to work for four years before they can take anything out.

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE:  I`m going to vote to remain.  I think the U.K. is
much stronger as part of the European Union from an economic point of view.
It`s better for the economy.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE:  I`m going to vote to leave.  I`m sure there will be an
economic impact and initially it won`t be very good.  But I`m sure we`ll
recover from it.

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE:  I look at E.U. and it`s so corrupt and so wasteful.
A gravy train just roaring around Europe.  How can I vote for those people?

UNIDENTIFIED MALE:  Definitely Brexit.  And main reason, immigration.  We
respect our own rules, not the E.U. making rules.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE:  I`m not going to decide until I`m actually in the


EPPERSON:  Now, the vote on Thursday is not just a big teal for those in
Great Britain but also for investors around the world.  Many want to know
what they can do to protect their portfolios.

Dominic Chu takes a look.


whether the U.K. decides to stay a member of the European Union or leave
the E.U. is just a couple of days away.  And here on our side of the
Atlantic, many Wall Street experts have been and still remain busy advising
their clients on what to do.

Are there certain stocks or sectors that will tend to do better or worse
depending on the outcome of that so-called Brexit referendum?  Many of the
recent polls still have the outcome as a virtual coin toss.

BMO Capital Markets chief investment strategist Brian Belski saying you
should stick with what`s working.  So, if voters chose to remain in the
European Union or keep the current status, he thinks you could see more
economically sensitive sectors outperform.  He likes the banks, other
financials, as well as some of underperformers as of late.

Also check out what`s happening with retail-oriented stocks and technology
stocks as well here.

On the other hand, if the U.K. chooses the anti-establishment route and
votes to leave the E.U., it could lead to market volatility.  In that case,
he`s looking for less economically sensitive stocks with bigger dividend
payments to outperform.  That would be say the utilities or telecom
services stocks, certain real estate-related investment trusts or REITs, as
they`re more commonly known.

But while the big U.K. vote is still the concern for the hour, it could be
overshadowed later on this year by more data on the U.S. economy, more Fed
interest rate meetings, and, of course, corporate earnings reports, and
that big presidential election later on this fall.

Belski and others believe it`s a fool`s errand to try to time the ups and
downs of the market and that there are still signs that the bull market for
stocks is intact.  On the other hand, there is a lot of uncertainty around
future events.  So, will investors choose to accentuate the positive or the



MATHISEN:  Still ahead, flagged for safety problems.  Why the death of an
actor could be linked to a recent auto recall.


MATHISEN:  Fiat Chrysler has been vaulted into the spotlight, this after
one of its recalled vehicles led to the death of an actor, Anton Yelchin,
known for his role on recent “Star Trek” movies.  It`s too soon to
determine the cause of this particular accident.

An official says the actor was killed when his Jeep rolled down his
driveway and crushed him against a wall.  The automaker issued a recall on
the Jeep for a gear shift issue that reportedly has confused drivers.

Tom Costello of NBC News demonstrated the problem.


TOM COSTELLO, NBC NEWS:  Here`s the issue on these cars.  It`s in the gear
shifter, an electronic gear shifter, and it`s spring loaded.  So, watch
what happens.  I take my gear and I move it into a drive position.  Watch
what happens with that.  It springs right back into a center position.

One more time.  I`m going to take the car, it`s in park right now.  I`m
going to put it into drive.  So I do this.  And it springs right back into
this middle position.

So that has been a problem, because some people think they`re in park, but
in fact, they`re in reverse or in neutral.


MATHISEN:  Phil LeBeau is covering the story for us.

Phil, how unusual is this recall, either because of the scale, the number
of cars, or what it involves especially?

recall from the size number.  You`re looking at 1.1 million vehicles.  So,
this is not a small number of vehicles being recalled.

What`s unusual here, Tyler, is that it`s still unclear whether or not we`re
looking at a potential software issue with the gear shifter, a mechanical
issue with the gear shifter, or if this is user error which many have
suggested saying, look, some of these people in these more than 200
accidents that have been reported, they were simply confused, and therefore
you`re looking at the ergonomic design being in question and should Jeep
have done a better job in designing this so they don`t confuse drivers?

That`s the confusion here or really the unusual part of this is the fact
that it`s not your typical recall.  Usually you have in a recall, we`ve got
a part that is not working.  We`re going to fix that part.  In this case,
it may be the design of the device.

EPPERSON:  Well, now, it seems that in February, Phil, regulators were
aware of roll-away complaints and alleged crashes involving the model.  In
April, they issued a voluntary recall.  Is this the usual time frame?  Even
if they have issued this recall, how closely do consumers actually pay
attention to these notifications?

LEBEAU:  Well, there`s no usual time frame in terms of when problems are
first spotted and a recall takes place.  The federal law is, look, within
five days of you learning of a problem, you`ve got to investigate.  If
there`s a recall you`ve got to initiate it.

The problem with this recall is going to be in terms of people getting it
done.  There`s already a fix that`s been sent out to Jeep dealers around
the country.  The question is whether or not people will listen to the
recall notice when they get it in the mail or throw it in the garbage, or
if they`ll even do it.

Really, about 70 percent of all recalled vehicles actually get fixed.  The
remainder do not get fixed.

MATHISEN:  All right.  Phil, that`s all the time we`ve got tonight.  Phil
LeBeau in Chicago.

EPPERSON:  A lackluster outlook from FedEx (NYSE:FDX).  The package
delivery company said it will spend more this year to keep up with higher
volume from online shopping.  For the quarter, the company reported
earnings of $3.30 a share, 2 cents better than estimates.  Revenue of $13
billion also topped expectations.  And were 7 percent higher than a year
ago.  The stock dipped initially following results.

Susan Li has more on FedEx (NYSE:FDX) quarterly results.


Federal Express (NYSE:EXPR) on the top and the bottom lines.  Pretty good
numbers, off another important metric analysts were looking for, was their
forward earnings guidance, which pretty was in line with market estimates.
FedEx (NYSE:FDX) is often seen as a gauge and bellwether to see how global
trade is doing.  So, the fact that they made more money than anticipated is
a positive.

Fuel costs was something that analysts were looking forward, given the jump
back in oil prices back up again to $50 a barrel.  And for the transport
company, fuel is a big expense.  For the recent quarter, it looks like fuel
had a positive net impact.

Now, one disappointing part of this report card was a lack of clarity or
even an update on a $5 billion TNT acquisition.  FedEx (NYSE:FDX) said its
earnings report says it`s unable to forecast combined impacts of
integration expenses and also financing costs and FedEx (NYSE:FDX) as a
stock has been outperforming this year, up over 10 percent.  And we`re
still looking for an update as to what FedEx (NYSE:FDX) thinks of the
upcoming Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) delivery competition.



MATHISEN:  Canadian Pacific warns of an earnings slowdown.  And that is
where we begin tonight`s “Market Focus.”

The railroad operator said lower bulk shipments and the recent wildfires in
Canada`s Alberta province are expected to drag down results for the current
quarter.  The company sees profit falling as much as 18 percent, and
expects revenue to decline about 12 percent.  Shares fell more than 2
percent today on the news.  They finished at $124.34.

Shares of United Continental took off today after the airline said it
expects to have more than $3 billion in additional savings and revenue by
2018.  In an attempt to increase overall profitability and reach that
target number, the company plans to add more higher-priced seating and
implement more cost cuts.  United shares up 3 percent to $44.86.

Warner Enterprises warns of a profit shortfall.  The trucking company
expects earnings for the current quarter to fall well below estimates
because of weak freight market and increases in employee pay.  That`s
called squeezing margins, folks.  Moving forward the company said it will
focus on cost management initiatives.  Shares down more than 9 percent at

EPPERSON:  Boeing`s planes may soon be flying in Iran.  The aircraft maker
entered into a tentative agreement to sell planes to airliner Iran Air.  If
the deal finalizes the sale could be worth up to $25 billion.  Shares fell
1 percent on news to $131.52.

Used car retailer CarMax (NYSE:KMX) saw profits fall for the third
consecutive quarter citing competition challenges and increased general and
administrative costs.  The results were shy of expectations.  Overall
revenue rose, but that also missed estimates.  CarMax (NYSE:KMX) shares
fell nearly 5 percent on the news to $48.14.

MATHISEN:  When it comes to saving for a rainy day, many Americans are
falling short.  According to a study, a whopping 66 million
U.S. adults have zero dollars, none, set aside for an emergency.  The poll
found that Generation X`ers, those between the ages of 36 to 51, fared the

Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at, joins us more to
talk about his findings.

Wow, Greg.  This is something.  You and every other person, including the
lovely person sitting next to me, preached about having six months` worth
of savings set aside for a rainy day.  Why aren`t Americans doing it?  And
why aren`t the Gen X`ers doing it?

Gen X`ers, Tyler, it`s an instance where if you`re not regularly adding to
your savings, what little savings you have is eventually going to get
chewed up, because those unplanned expenses are going to arise, and
especially in that age bracket where raising families, you`re buying a
house, you`re making tuition payments.

So, you have to be regularly adding to the savings.  I think that`s part of
the problem for the Gen X`ers.  And really, just at large, the reason why
people don`t have enough, they don`t prioritize savings.  If you wait until
the end of the month and try to save what`s left over, there`s nothing left
over.  You`ve got to pay yourself first, have that money come directly out
of the paycheck into a savings account.  That way you accomplish the
savings before you roll out of bed on payday morning.

EPPERSON:  Greg, maybe that`s what we`re learning now from those in their
20s and 30s, the millennials who are actually saving.  What are they doing
right, why did they fare best in this study?

MCBRIDE:  Well, Sharon, they had a front row seat for the financial crisis.
Because they saw the impact it had on their parents or older siblings, and
this happened during their financially formative years.  You know, a lot of
ways, millennials are the modern-day equivalent of the depression babies in
the sense that we see them as less consumption focused, they have more
aversion toward debt, and as we`re seeing here, a greater inclination
towards saving.

So, they have established that habit of putting a little bit of money away
for that rainy day.  I think that`s something that bodes very well for
their financial futures.

EPPERSON:  What about the millions who have not done that, who do not have
an emergency savings?  Where do they start?  How can they start small and
end up saving a lot?

MCBRIDE:  Well, July is a month that has five Fridays.  So, a lot of people
are going to get a third paycheck or an extra paycheck next month.  Here`s
an opportunity to seed that emergency savings with an entire paycheck.

Now, don`t stop there.  Direct deposit into a dedicated savings account,
even if it`s modest, is critically important.  You`re going to build some
momentum.  And every time an expense comes along and chews into your
emergency cushion, you`re one paycheck away from starting to replenish

MATHISEN:  You used a phrase at the top of the segment that my old dear
friend Marshall Loeb (ph) used to use, pay yourself first.  That`s the way
to go.

Greg McBride of Bankrate — thank you.

MCBRIDE:  Thank you.

EPPERSON:  Coming up, they`re popular, they`re convenient, but they may
also be the one thing driving up spending on health care.


MATHISEN:  Here`s what to watch tomorrow, folks.

Fed Chair Janet Yellen, she`ll be back on Capitol Hill, day two of her
testimony on the economy.  Over on the House side, we`ll find out how the
housing market is doing.  Existing home sales for May, they`re going to be
released.  And the House Judiciary Committee will hold a hearing on the
possible impeachment of the IRS commissioner.  That`s what to watch

EPPERSON:  Meanwhile, landmark rules for the drone industry were completed
today.  The Federal Aviation Administration will limit most small
commercial drone operations to daylight hours.  The rules will also require
operators to get certified every two years.  According to the industry
estimates, the regulations could generate more than $82 billion for the
economy.  And create more than 100,000 new jobs over the next decade.

MATHISEN:  California sets a deadline to close its last operating nuclear
power plants.  The utility that owns the reactors reached an agreement with
environmental groups to close those plants by 2025.  Pacific Gas and
Electric will replace that nuclear power generation with renewable energy
and other efficient initiatives.  The two Diablo Canyon reactors produce
about 9 percent of the state`s electricity and are located near major fault

EPPERSON:  Urgent care centers.  They`re convenient.  Most of us have used
them.  But their growing popularity is also one of the reasons why health
care spending is climbing.

Bertha Coombs explains.


and retail clinics are becoming the first point of care for a lot of us.

KOBIE FOSTER, NEW YORK CITY:  The waiting times are shorter.  And with
something like the flu or a cold, I feel like I want the quick and dirty.

LYNDA STRATFORD, NEW YORK CITY:  I can just walk into urgent care, it`s
covered by my insurance, it`s always convenient.

COOMBS:  They`re a lot cheaper than emergency room visits but they`re so
convenient and so affordable, we`re using them a lot, say PWC researchers.

BARBARA GNIEWEK, PWC PARTNER:  Last year, high-cost specialty drugs was the
main driver of trends.  This year, it`s more utilization that`s driving

COOMBS:  In the last decade, large employers have seen spending on doctors`
office visits decrease 17 percent.  While urgent care spending for routine
ailments is up 19 percent.  Now makes up a bigger chunk of total medical

GNIEWEK:  Ultimately, we think it might be a good thing.  So while you have
people taking better care of themselves for routine care, they may not have
more catastrophic care down the road.  But this year, it`s an inflater.

COOMBS:  PWC says large companies are also seeing more worker demand for
mental health services which could drive up costs next year.  But overall,
medical cost growth is expected to be flat at about 6.5 percent, with no
blockbuster high-cost drugs like Sovaldi expected to come to market in

To rein in costs, more companies are looking at plans with narrower
networks and high deductibles for next year.  For employees, it`s going to
mean a bit more cost-sharing in 2017 for everything, including perhaps
those convenient urgent care visits.



EPPERSON:  To read more about how retail clinics are driving up health care
spending, head to our website,

That`s NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT for tonight.  I`m Sharon Epperson.  Thanks
so much for watching.

MATHISEN:  And thanks from me as well.  I`m Tyler Mathisen.  Have a great
evening, everybody, and we`ll see you back here tomorrow.


Nightly Business Report transcripts and video are available on-line post
broadcast at The program is transcribed by CQRC
Transcriptions, LLC. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of
our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent
the views of Nightly Business Report, or CNBC, Inc. Information presented
on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as
investment advice. (c) 2016 CNBC, Inc.

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